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Risk/Reward archive

Stephen Percoco

August 4, 2026GEV · Industrials

GE Vernova (GEV) 26Q2 Results

GE Vernova (GEV) posted 26Q2 revenues of $11.1 billion, up 21.9% YOY.   Operating income surged 72.8% to $655 million, driven by revenue growth and higher margins at Power and Electrification, which more than offset a modestly wider loss…

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July 21, 2026GE · Industrials

GE Aerospace (GE) 26Q2 Update

26Q2 revenue was $13.3 billion, up 21.1% over 25Q2.  Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 21.8%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) revenues were up 34.3%.  CES segment profit jumped 19.0%, with a 60 bp decline in…

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July 16, 2026T · Telecommunications

AT&T (T) Update

26Q1 Non-GAAP EPS Beats Consensus.  Lowering PT to $24 after Sell-Off but Raising Rating to Buy. AT&T reported 26Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.55, compared with $0.61 in the prior year period.  Non-GAAP EPS of $0.55 was up from…

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March 14, 2026SR · Utilities

Spire (SR) 26Q1 Update

Spire reported 26Q1 GAAP EPS of $1.54, better than 25Q1’s EPS of $1.34.  Non-GAAP, adjusted EPS was $1.77 vs. $1.34.  I had projected a GAAP and Adjusted EPS of $1.77.  By segment, Gas Utility’s adjusted earnings were $103.9…

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January 9, 2026Health Care · PFE

Pfizer (PFE) 25Q3 Update

Pfizer (PFE) reported 25Q3 revenues of $16.7 billion, down 5.9% from 24Q3 and 6.3% below my estimate.  All of the decline was due to declines in COMIRNATY and PAXLOVID, the COVID-19 medicines, compared with both prior year levels…

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January 5, 2026Health Care · MRK

Merck & Co (MRK) 25Q3 Update

25Q3 sales rose 3.7% to $17.3 billion, exceeding my estimate by 3.9%.  The revenue beat was due mostly to higher than anticipated sales of GARDASIL.  Although GARDASIL sales were down 24% YOY, they were up 55% sequentially, breaking…

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December 17, 2025BKR · Energy

Baker Hughes (BKR) 25Q3 Update

BKR reported 25Q3 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.61 vs. 24Q3’s $0.77 and my estimate of $0.66.  Net income was lower than expected due to transaction-related costs and a negative swing in the fair value of equity securities (Abu…

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December 9, 2025GE · Industrials

GE Aerospace (GE) 25Q3 Update

25Q3 revenue was $12.2 billion, up 23.8% over 24Q3.  Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 26.8%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) was up 26.1%.  CES segment profit jumped 26.1%, with a 170 bp rise in margin…

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September 30, 2025RGCO · Utilities

Quick Take: RGC Resources (RGCO)

RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) is a holding company whose subsidiaries include Roanoke Gas Company (Roanoke Gas) and RGC Midstream, LLC (Midstream).  Originally established in 1883, Roanoke Gas is a regulated gas utility that distributes and sells natural gas…

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August 13, 2025SR · Utilities

Spire Inc (SR) 25Q3 Update

Spire reported 25Q3 GAAP EPS of $0.29, reversing last year’s 24Q2’s loss of $0.28.  Non-GAAP, net economic EPS (NEEPS) was $0.01 vs. a loss of $0.14.  I had projected a GAAP and NEEPS loss of $0.08.  By segment,…

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August 8, 2025Health Care · PFE

Pfizer (PFE) 25Q2 Update

Pfizer (PFE) reported 25Q2 revenues of $14.7 billion, up 10.3% from 24Q2 and 6.1% above my estimate.  The sales gains were broad based across the company’s commercial portfolio, with the greatest dollar contributions coming from the Vyndaqel family,…

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August 8, 2025Health Care · MRK

Merck & Co (MRK) 25Q2 Update

25Q2 sales decreased 1.9% to $15.8 billion and were 0.8% below my estimate.  GARDASIL sales declined by $1.3 billion or 55%, hurt by a lack of pull through in China.  (Thus, the company’s suspension of shipments to China…

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July 25, 2025BKR · Energy

Baker Hughes (BKR) 25Q2 Update

BKR reported 25Q2 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.71 vs. 24Q2’s $0.58 and my estimate of $0.58.  Net income was higher than expected due mostly to lower SG&A expenses and a $130 million fair value gain from its equity…

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July 24, 2025GEV · Industrials

GE Vernova (GEV) 25Q2 Update

GE Vernova (GEV) posted 25Q2 revenues of $9.1 billion, up 21.9% YOY.   Yet, operating income fell 47.4% from $527 million to $378 million, primarily due to the nonrecurrence of $306 million related to an arbitration refund received in…

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June 20, 2025Health Care · PFE

Pfizer Inc (PFE) 25Q1 Update

Pfizer (PFE) reported 25Q1 revenues of $13.7 billion, down 7.8% from 24Q1 and 6.5% below my estimate.  The shortfalls from the prior year and my estimate were due to much lower than anticipated sales of Paxlovid.  Sales of…

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June 20, 2025Health Care · MRK

Merck & Co (MRK) 25Q1 Update

25Q1 sales decreased 1.6% to $15.5 billion and were 2.0% below my estimate.  Excluding currency, sales rose 1%.  Sales gains in KEYTRUDA, WINREVAIR and Animal Health offset a 41% drop in GARDASIL sales, as a sharp drop in…

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June 20, 2025SR · Utilities

Spire Inc (SR) 25Q2 Update

Spire reported 25Q2 GAAP EPS of $3.51, down from $3.58 in 24Q2.  Non-GAAP, net economic EPS (NEEPS) was $3.60, up from $3.45.  I had projected GAAP and NEEPS of $3.75.  Operating revenues of $1.05 billion were down 6.8%…

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June 20, 2025SR · Utilities

Spire Inc (SR) 25Q1 Update

Spire reported 25Q1 GAAP EPS of $1.34, down from $1.52 in 24Q1.  Non-GAAP, net economic EPS (NEEPS) was $1.34, down from $1.47.  I had anticipated economic EPS of $1.49.  Operating revenues of $669.1 million were down 11.1% YOY…

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June 20, 2025GEV · Industrials

GE Vernova (GEV) 25Q1 Update

GE Vernova (GEV) posted 25Q1 revenues of $8.0 billion, up 21.3% YOY.   Operating income swung from a loss of $289 million to income of $43 million.  With pension and other income, net of interest costs, pre-tax earnings swung…

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June 20, 2025GE · Industrials

GE Aerospace (GE) 25Q1 Update

25Q1 revenue was $9.9 billion, up 10% over 24Q1.  Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 14.4%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) was essentially flat.  CES segment profit jumped 36%, with a 420 bp rise in margin…

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April 2, 2025Health Care · OGN

Organon (OGN) 24Q4 Update

24Q4 revenues were $1.59 billion, up 3% at constant currency but down 0.4% YOY and 2.8% below my estimate.  GAAP diluted EPS was $0.42, compared with 23Q4’s $2.13 and my estimate of $0.60.  Non-GAAP EPS of $0.90 was…

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March 31, 2025Health Care · PFE

Pfizer (PFE) 24Q4 Update

Pfizer (PFE) reported 24Q4 revenues of $17.8 billion, up 24.7% from 23Q4 and 3.4% above my estimate.  Sales of  Comirnaty were much stronger than expected, but that was mostly offset by lower than projected sales of Paxlovid.  GAAP…

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March 25, 2025T · Telecommunications

AT&T (T) 24Q4 Update

At its Investor Day held on Dec. 3, AT&T outlined its vision for the next stage of its evolution.  It aims to drive growth in its consumer broadband business by expanding its fiber optic footprint, increasing the number…

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March 25, 2025Health Care · MRK

Merck & Co (MRK) 24Q4 Update

24Q4 sales rose 6.8% to $15.6 billion.  Excluding currency, sales rose 9%.  Once again, a high teens percentage gain in KEYTRUDA sales more than offset declining sales in most of the rest of the portfolio.  GAAP diluted EPS…

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March 13, 2025BKR · Energy

Baker Hughes 24Q4 Update

BKR reported 24Q4 GAAP diluted EPS of $1.18 vs. 23Q4’s $0.43 and my estimate of $0.66.  Its net income was higher than expected due mostly to a large income tax benefit.  Operating income was 34% below my estimate,…

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March 13, 2025GEV · Industrials

GE Vernova 24Q4 Update

GE Vernova (GEV) posted 24Q4 revenues of $10.6 billion, up 5%, with growth in both equipment and services.   Operating income more than doubled from $195 million to $593 million, as did net income from $205 million to $484…

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March 13, 2025GE · Industrials

GE Aerospace 24Q4 Update

24Q4 revenue was $10.8 billion, up 14% over 23Q4.  Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue jumped 19% and Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) rose 4.5%.  CES segment profit surged 54%, with a 640 bp increase in margin to…

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February 13, 2025Market Commentary

CPI Too Hot? Here’s My Take.

Yesterday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5% on a seasonally adjusted basis is January, after rising 0.4% in December. Year-over-year, the increase was 3.0%, up from…

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December 2, 2024SR · Utilities

Spire (SR) 24Q4 Update

Spire reported a 24Q4 GAAP loss of $0.51 per share, better than 23Q4’s $0.66 loss.  Its non-GAAP, net economic loss per share (NEEPS) was $0.54, also improved over 23Q4’s $0.78 loss, but worse than my $0.41 loss estimate. …

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November 18, 2024Health Care · MRK

Merck & Co (MRK) 24Q3 Update

24Q3 sales rose 4.3% to $16.7 billion.  Excluding currency, sales rose 7%.  Once again, a double-digit gain in KEYTRUDA sales more than offset declining sales in the rest of the portfolio.  GAAP diluted EPS was $1.24, below 23Q3’s…

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November 18, 2024Health Care · PFE

Pfizer (PFE) 24Q3 Update

Pfizer (PFE) reported 24Q3 revenues of $17.7 billion, up 33.8% from 23Q3, and 13% above my estimate.  The key driver of the revenue beat came from Paxlovid, which posted sales of $2.7 billion, beating my estimate of $400…

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November 18, 2024Health Care · OGN

Organon & Co (OGN) 24Q3 Update

24Q3 revenues were $1.58 billion, up 4.1% year-over-year and up 5% at constant currency.  GAAP diluted EPS was $1.38, compared with 23Q3’s $0.23, but above my estimate of $0.63.  Non-GAAP EPS of $0.87 was even with last year,…

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October 27, 2024BKR · Energy

Baker Hughes (BKR) 24Q3 Update

BKR reported 24Q3 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.77 vs. 23Q3’s $0.51 and my estimate of $0.63.  Non-GAAP EPS was $0.67, compared with $0.42 last year and my estimate of $0.65.  Revenues of $6.9 billion rose 4.0% vs. 23Q3,…

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October 27, 2024GEV · Industrials

GE Vernova (GEV) 24Q3 Update

GE Vernova (GEV) reported a 24Q3 GAAP diluted loss per share of $0.35 compared with 23Q3’s pro forma loss of $0.62.  This quarter saw a big increase in SG&A from standalone corporate and higher restructuring costs.  Excluding those…

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October 27, 2024GE · Industrials

GE Aerospace (GE) 24Q3 Update

GE Aerospace reported 24Q3 revenues of $9.8 billion, up 5.8% vs. the prior year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.56, compared with 23Q3’s $0.20; and non-GAAP EPS was $1.15 vs $0.92.  Results exceeded my estimates of $1.18…

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September 15, 2024GE · Industrials

GE Aerospace (GE) 24Q2 Update

GE Aerospace reported 24Q2 revenues of $9.1 billion, up 3.9% year-over-year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.20, compared with 23Q2’s $1.09; and non-GAAP EPS was $1.20 vs $0.74.  The mean estimates of analysts were $8.6 billion for…

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