Risk/Reward archive
26Q2 revenue was $13.3 billion, up 21.1% over 25Q2. Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 21.8%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) revenues were up 34.3%. CES segment profit jumped 19.0%, with a 60 bp decline in…
Continue reading →25Q3 revenue was $12.2 billion, up 23.8% over 24Q3. Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 26.8%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) was up 26.1%. CES segment profit jumped 26.1%, with a 170 bp rise in margin…
Continue reading →25Q2 revenue was $11.0 billion, up 21% over 25Q1. Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 30%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) was up 7%. CES segment profit jumped 33%, with a 50 bp rise in margin…
Continue reading →25Q1 revenue was $9.9 billion, up 10% over 24Q1. Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue rose 14.4%, while Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) was essentially flat. CES segment profit jumped 36%, with a 420 bp rise in margin…
Continue reading →24Q4 revenue was $10.8 billion, up 14% over 23Q4. Commercial Engine & Services (CES) revenue jumped 19% and Defense & Propulsion Technologies (DPT) rose 4.5%. CES segment profit surged 54%, with a 640 bp increase in margin to…
Continue reading →GE Aerospace reported 24Q3 revenues of $9.8 billion, up 5.8% vs. the prior year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.56, compared with 23Q3’s $0.20; and non-GAAP EPS was $1.15 vs $0.92. Results exceeded my estimates of $1.18…
Continue reading →GE Aerospace reported 24Q2 revenues of $9.1 billion, up 3.9% year-over-year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.20, compared with 23Q2’s $1.09; and non-GAAP EPS was $1.20 vs $0.74. The mean estimates of analysts were $8.6 billion for…
Continue reading →GE reported 23Q3 revenues of $17.3 billion, up 19.9% year-over-year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations of $0.08, compared with 22Q3’s $0.29 loss; and non-GAAP EPS of $0.82 vs 22Q3’s ($0.17). I had anticipated revenues of $15.4 billion, GAAP…
Continue reading →GE reported 23Q2 revenues of $16.7 billion, up 18.2% year-over-year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations of $0.91, compared with 22Q2’s $1.09 loss; and non-GAAP EPS of $0.68 vs 22Q2’s $1.14. I had anticipated GAAP EPS of $0.23 per…
Continue reading →GE reported 23Q1 revenues of $14.5 billion, up 14.3% year-over-year; GAAP EPS from continuing operations of $5.61, compared with 22Q1’s $1.17 loss; and non-GAAP EPS of $0.27, reversing 22Q1’s $0.09 loss. I had anticipated a GAAP loss of…
Continue reading →GE announced 22Q4 revenues of $21.8 billion, up 7.3% year-over-year, GAAP EPS of $1.93, compared with 21Q4’s $3.26 loss, and non-GAAP EPS of $1.24, up 52% over 21Q4’s $0.82. I had anticipated a GAAP EPS of $0.38 per…
Continue reading →GE Healthcare Technologies (GEHC) will be spun-off from General Electric Company (GE) on January 4, 2023. Under the terms of the spin-off, GE shareholders will receive one share of GEHC for every three shares of GE that they…
Continue reading →GE announced 22Q3 revenues of $19.5 billion, up 0.5% year-over-year, a GAAP loss per share of $0.14, compared with 21Q3’s $0.54 profit, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.35, below 21Q3’s $0.53. I had anticipated a GAAP EPS of $0.44…
Continue reading →General Electric Company (GE) announced 22Q2 revenues of $18.6 billion, up 2.4% year-over-year, a GAAP loss per share of $0.59, two cents worse than 21Q2’s $0.57 loss, and non-GAAP EPS of $0.78, above 21Q2’s $0.22. I had anticipated…
Continue reading →Since reporting disappoint 22Q1 results on April 26, GE’s stock has fallen sharply. Year-to-date, GE’s stock is down 22.6%, worse than the S&P 500 Industrial sector’s 11.7% decline.
Continue reading →General Electric reported a 2020 third quarter GAAP loss of $1.16 billion or $0.13 per share on revenues on revenues of $19.4 billion, down 17%. In the 2019 third quarter, the company reported a comparable net loss of…
Continue reading →Shares of GE have underperformed both the broader market and GE’s industrial peer group since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. The weak performance reflects primarily the company’s exposure to the aviation business, which prior to the pandemic…
Continue reading →As noted in a previous post, it is most appropriate to value GE as a single, stand-alone enterprise. Several unifying investment themes support this view:
Continue reading →In April 2015, partially in response to the regulatory restrictions that accompanied GE Capital’s designation as a systemically important financial institution by the Financial Stability Oversight Council, GE adopted the GE Capital Exit Plan, under which it planned…
Continue reading →In my view, the most appropriate way to look at GE’s stock valuation is to consider the company as a single enterprise. In this analysis, I compare its current valuation to peers. My calculations for GE’S enterprise value-to-EBITDA…
Continue reading →Based upon management’s guidance given at General Electric’s 2020 Outlook meeting on March 4th, I project 2020 Industrial Leverage EBITDA of $11.6 billion, up roughly 3% from 2019. Industrial Leverage EBITDA was given in the appendix to the…
Continue reading →Given the complexity of its business mix and financial structure, valuing GE is not an easy exercise even under benign economic conditions. The task is made even more difficult when there is considerable uncertainty about prospects for the…
Continue reading →GE’s stock has been battered during this sell-off, falling much more than the broader market as a whole. Since reaching an intra-day peak of $13.26 on February 12 (roughly one month ago), the stock has fallen 40.8% to…
Continue reading →The cover story in this week’s Sunday New York Times Magazine is “What Really Caused the Deadly Crashes of the Boeing 737 Max?“. While acknowledging that malfunctions caused the crashes, it also documents in detail the errors made…
Continue reading →On August 15, 2019, Harry Markopolos, who gained fame as the person who exposed the fraud perpetrated by Bernie Madoff, released a 175-page report entitled “General Electric, A Bigger Fraud Than Enron.” GE’s stock fell 11.3% on the…
Continue reading →The net income and EPS figures for the 2019 first quarter for Baker Hughes, a GE company, are confusing as presented. The company reported net income (before income or loss allocated to the non-controlling interest, which is GE)…
Continue reading →General Electric (GE) posted 2018 fourth quarter results that were viewed positively by the financial community primarily because there were no new major negative surprises. Although management gave an update on the company’s recent progress and certain aspects…
Continue reading →General Electric (GE) reported 2018 third quarter results on Tuesday, October 30. This was the first conference call for newly-installed Chairman and CEO H. Lawrence (Larry) Culp, Jr.
Continue reading →Besides the recent weakness at Power and Oil & Gas, GE has been grappling with legacy issues at GE Capital. Although it has been downsizing for more than a decade now – reducing its assets from $660 billion…
Continue reading →On June 26, General Electric (GE) announced the outcome of its strategic review. Besides divestiture actions already announced, the company said that it will spin-off its Healthcare business over the next 12-18 months and distribute its 62.5% stake…
Continue reading →General Electric reported disappointing 2018 second quarter GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders of $736 million or $0.07 per share, down 30% from $1.03 billion or $0.10 per share last year. Adjusted (Non-GAAP) EPS, according to the company’s definition,…
Continue reading →GAAP loss of $1.18 billion or $0.14 per share vs. a 17Q1 loss of $0.12 billion or $0.01 per share. This quarter’s loss included a $1.55 billion ($0.17 per share) charge representing the estimated cost of settling potential…
Continue reading →On Friday (4/13), General Electric (GE) filed an 8-K that quantified the impact of adopting new accounting standards (and certain voluntary changes in accounting policies) on its previously reported results for 2016 and 2017. In total, these changes…
Continue reading →GE announced this morning that it will take an after-tax charge of $6.2 billion in the 2017 fourth quarter against the value of GE Capital’s run-off insurance portfolio, North American Life & Health (NALH). In addition, GE Capital…
Continue reading →“You can’t grow long-term if you can’t eat short-term. Anybody can manage short. Anybody can manage long. Balancing those two things is what management is” -Jack Welch As everyone knows, this has been a tough year for…
Continue reading →On Friday (10/6), after the market close, General Electric (GE) announced that three of its senior executives, all Vice Chairs – John Rice, CEO of GE’s Global Growth Operations, Beth Comstock, CEO of GE’s Business Innovations and Jeff…
Continue reading →This has been an eventful year for General Electric (GE), one that brought about the most significant changes that the company has seen in its 127 year history. The company has repositioned its business mix, drastically reducing its…
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