Risk/Reward archive
Pfizer (PFE) reported 25Q3 revenues of $16.7 billion, down 5.9% from 24Q3 and 6.3% below my estimate. All of the decline was due to declines in COMIRNATY and PAXLOVID, the COVID-19 medicines, compared with both prior year levels…
Continue reading →25Q3 sales rose 3.7% to $17.3 billion, exceeding my estimate by 3.9%. The revenue beat was due mostly to higher than anticipated sales of GARDASIL. Although GARDASIL sales were down 24% YOY, they were up 55% sequentially, breaking…
Continue reading →25Q3 net revenue rose 2.8% to $12.2 billion, as an 18.0% rise in the growth portfolio more than offset an 11.8% decline in the legacy portfolio. Dollar sales gains in Eliquis, Opdivo, Reblozyl, Camzyos and Breyanzi were partially…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 25Q3 revenues of $5.14 billion, up 5.7% YOY and 2.9% above my estimate. Revenues rose 20.0% in Pharmaceutical Diagnostics (PDx), 7.0% in Advanced Visual Solutions, 5.4% in Imaging, but fell 6.2% in Patient Care Solutions (PCS). …
Continue reading →Pfizer (PFE) reported 25Q2 revenues of $14.7 billion, up 10.3% from 24Q2 and 6.1% above my estimate. The sales gains were broad based across the company’s commercial portfolio, with the greatest dollar contributions coming from the Vyndaqel family,…
Continue reading →25Q2 sales decreased 1.9% to $15.8 billion and were 0.8% below my estimate. GARDASIL sales declined by $1.3 billion or 55%, hurt by a lack of pull through in China. (Thus, the company’s suspension of shipments to China…
Continue reading →25Q2 net revenue rose 0.6% to $12.3 billion, as a 17.9% gain in the growth portfolio more than offset a 14.1% decline in the legacy portfolio. Among the individual medicines, sales gains in Eliquis, Breyanzi, Opdivo, Reblozyl and…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 25Q2 revenues of $5.00 billion, up 3.5% YOY and in line with my estimate. Revenues rose 14.1% in Pharmaceutical Diagnostics (PDx), 3.2% in Advanced Visual Solutions, 1.5% in Imaging and 0.8% in Patient Care Solutions (PCS). …
Continue reading →Pfizer (PFE) reported 25Q1 revenues of $13.7 billion, down 7.8% from 24Q1 and 6.5% below my estimate. The shortfalls from the prior year and my estimate were due to much lower than anticipated sales of Paxlovid. Sales of…
Continue reading →25Q1 sales decreased 1.6% to $15.5 billion and were 2.0% below my estimate. Excluding currency, sales rose 1%. Sales gains in KEYTRUDA, WINREVAIR and Animal Health offset a 41% drop in GARDASIL sales, as a sharp drop in…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 25Q1 revenues of $4.78 billion, up 2.7% YOY and in line with my estimate. Revenues rose 5.5% in Pharmaceutical Diagnostics (PDx), 3.8% in Imaging, 1.0% in Advanced Visual Solutions and 0.8% in Patient Care Solutions (PCS). …
Continue reading →Organon (OGN) reported 25Q1 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.33, down from $0.78 a year ago. Non-GAAP EPS was $1.02, down from $1.22. I had anticipated GAAP EPS of $0.61 and non-GAAP EPS of $0.92. Revenues of $1.51 billion…
Continue reading →25Q1 net revenue decreased 5.6% to $11.2 billion, as declines in Eliquis and Revlimid were only partially offset by an increase in Opdivo. BMY’s growth portfolio posted a 16.1% YOY revenue increase, the slowest in a year; while…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 25Q1 loss of $9.8 million or $1.30 per share. I had projected a loss of $7.0 million or $0.93 per share. Operating expenses, including R&D, G&A and (non-cash stock-based compensation, were greater than…
Continue reading →24Q4 revenues were $1.59 billion, up 3% at constant currency but down 0.4% YOY and 2.8% below my estimate. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.42, compared with 23Q4’s $2.13 and my estimate of $0.60. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.90 was…
Continue reading →Pfizer (PFE) reported 24Q4 revenues of $17.8 billion, up 24.7% from 23Q4 and 3.4% above my estimate. Sales of Comirnaty were much stronger than expected, but that was mostly offset by lower than projected sales of Paxlovid. GAAP…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 24Q4 revenues of $5.32 billion, up 2.2% YOY and slightly below my estimate of $5.39 billion. Revenues were flat in the Imaging and Patient Care Solutions (PCS) segments, but rose 4.1% in Advanced Visual Solutions (AVS)…
Continue reading →24Q4 sales rose 6.8% to $15.6 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 9%. Once again, a high teens percentage gain in KEYTRUDA sales more than offset declining sales in most of the rest of the portfolio. GAAP diluted EPS…
Continue reading →24Q4 net revenue rose 7.5% to $12.3 billion, with gains in Eliquis and the growth portfolio more than offsetting LOE-related declines in Revlimid, Pomalyst, Sprycel and Abraxane. Growth portfolio net revenues rose 9.5% sequentially and 29% YOY. Gross…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 24Q4 loss of $11.8 million or $1.64 per share. Excluding an estimated $6 million milestone payment, which I had incorrectly expensed rather than capitalized, I had projected a $12.5 million or $1.73 per…
Continue reading →24Q3 sales rose 4.3% to $16.7 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 7%. Once again, a double-digit gain in KEYTRUDA sales more than offset declining sales in the rest of the portfolio. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.24, below 23Q3’s…
Continue reading →Pfizer (PFE) reported 24Q3 revenues of $17.7 billion, up 33.8% from 23Q3, and 13% above my estimate. The key driver of the revenue beat came from Paxlovid, which posted sales of $2.7 billion, beating my estimate of $400…
Continue reading →24Q3 net revenue rose 8.4% to $11.9 billion, with gains in Eliquis, Reblozyl, Breyanzi and Opdivo as well as other medicines from BMY’s growth portfolio more than offsetting an LOE-related decline in Sprycel. Growth portfolio net revenues rose…
Continue reading →24Q3 revenues were $1.58 billion, up 4.1% year-over-year and up 5% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.38, compared with 23Q3’s $0.23, but above my estimate of $0.63. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.87 was even with last year,…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 24Q3 revenues of $4.86 billion, up 0.9% YOY and matching my estimate of $4.90 billion. Revenues were flat, except Life Support Solutions (within the PCS segment), where sales rose 16.8%, and the PDx segment, up 12.5%. …
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 24Q3 loss of $10.9 million or $0.06 per share, matching my estimate. R&D expense fell by $1.0 million or 26.6% vs. the prior year, while general & administrative expense increased $1.1 million or…
Continue reading →24Q2 revenues were $1.607 billion, down 0.1% year-over-year, but up 2% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.76, below 23Q2’s $0.95, but above my estimate of $0.67. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.12 was behind last year’s $1.31, but…
Continue reading →GE Healthcare Technologies (GEHC) reported 24Q2 revenues of $4.84 billion, up 0.5% YOY and but 1.9% below my estimate. Excluding currency and acquisitions, revenue increased 1%. Revenues declined in all segments, except PDx, which rose 12.5%. Sales in…
Continue reading →Pfizer (PFE) reported 24Q2 revenues of $13.3 billion, up 4% from 23Q2, but 4.5% below my estimate. The shortfall from projections was due mostly to lower than expected sales of Comirnaty, Prevnar, Paxlovid and Abrysvo. Pfizer’s GAAP EPS…
Continue reading →24Q2 sales increased 7.2% to $16.1 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 11%. The sales gain came almost entirely from an increase of $1.0 billion in Keytruda. However, a few recently launched medicines posted solid sales, including Wellireg, Winrevair…
Continue reading →24Q2 net revenue rose 8.7% to $12.2 billion, with a solid gains in Opdivo, Eliquis and a bevy of medicines from BMY’s growth portfolio, more than offsetting an LOE-related decline in Revlimid. Growth portfolio net revenues rose 17%…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 24Q2 loss of $8.5 million or $0.05 per share, $0.02 below my estimate, mostly because of an unexpected $2.3 million gain on the sale of NOLs. R&D expense declined by about $1.1 million…
Continue reading →24Q1 sales increased 8.9% to $15.8 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 12%. The sales gain came from an increase of $1.15 billion in Keytruda and $277 million in Gardasil. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.87 per share vs. last…
Continue reading →24Q1 revenues were $1.622 billion, up 5.5% year-over-year, but up 7% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.78, above 23Q1’s $0.69 and my estimate of $0.77. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.22 was above last year’s $1.08 and also…
Continue reading →Pfizer (PFE) reported 24Q1 revenues of $14.9 billion, down 19% from 23Q1, but 7% above my estimate. Its GAAP EPS was $0.55 and non-GAAP EPS $0.82, down from $0.97 and $1.23 last year, but well ahead of my…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 24Q1 revenues of $4.65 billion, down 1.2% YOY and 4.1% below my estimate. Excluding currency, revenue was flat. Revenues declined in Imaging, Ultrasound and PCS, but PDx revenue increased 7.3%. Sales in China fell 11%. The…
Continue reading →Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) reported 24Q1 revenues of $11.9 billion, up 5% from 23Q1. Its GAAP loss per share was $5.89 and non-GAAP loss $4.40, reversing last years earnings of $1.07 GAAP and $2.05 non-GAAP. 24Q1’s revenues were $330…
Continue reading →Earlier today, Citius Pharmaceuticals Inc. (CTXR) announced that it had entered into definitive agreements for the issuance of 21.4 million shares of its common stock and accompanying warrants to purchase up to the same number of common shares…
Continue reading →Buy Rating. Price Target of $30. As the COVID-19 pandemic receded, Pfizer’s sales and profits fell sharply. Combined sales and alliance revenues of COMIRNATY, the COVID vaccine, and PAXLOVID, the COVID oral antiviral, fell 78% to $12.5 billion…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 23Q4 loss of $11.1 million or $0.07 per share, $0.01 more than my estimate, mostly because of higher than expected stock-based compensation and $1.15 million for a deemed dividend associated with the one-year…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 23Q3 revenues of $4.82 billion, up 5.4% YOY. Revenues increased 6% organically. Organic orders increased 1%. Product sales grew 5.8%; while services sales rose 4.6%. All segments posted revenue gains, except for Ultrasound, which was up…
Continue reading →23Q3 sales increased 3.0% to $16.0 billion. Excluding currency and sales of Lagevrio, sales rose 8%. The sales gain came from an increase of $0.9 billion in Keytruda and $290 million in Gardasil.
Continue reading →23Q3 net revenue decreased 2.2% to $11.0 billion, as a 41% drop in Revlimid sales, due to LOE, was not entirely offset by growth across the rest of the portfolio. Revenues from newly launched products rose 79% YOY…
Continue reading →23Q3 revenues were $1.52 billion, down 1.2% YOY and also down 1% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.23, compared with 22Q3’s $0.90 and my estimate of $0.74. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.87 was below last year’s $1.32…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 23Q3 loss of $8.5 million or $0.06 per share, $0.01 less than my estimate, mostly because of a $1.1 million decrease in R&D spending associated with all of its clinical programs (except for…
Continue reading →23Q2 revenues were $1.61 billion, up 1.5% YOY and up 4% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.95, better than 22Q2’s $0.92 and above my estimate of $0.87. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.31 was higher than last year’s…
Continue reading →23Q2 sales increased 4.2% to $14.5 billion, but rose 11% excluding Lagevrio, a COVID-19 medicine. The sales gain ex-Lagevrio was due to sales increases of $1 billion in Keytruda and $800 million in Gardasil.
Continue reading →23Q2 net revenue dipped 5.6% to $11.2 billion, more than expected, mostly on a faster sales decline for Revlimid, which has lost exclusivity. Opdivo sales rose at the slowest YOY pace since the early pandemic. Revenues from newly…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 23Q2 revenues of $4.82 billion, up 7.4% YOY. Revenues increased 9% organically. Orders were also up 6% organically. Equipment revenues grew 11%; while services rose 1%. The strong growth in equipment augurs well for services revenue…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 23Q2 loss of $0.07 per share, $0.02 more than I had anticipated, mostly because of higher R&D spending associated with the ongoing clinical trials of Mino-Lok and Halo-Lido and also due to pre-launch…
Continue reading →GEHC reported 23Q1 revenues of $4.71 billion, up 8.4% YOY. Excluding currency, revenue increased 12.4%. Operating income rose 9.8% to $559 million. Incremental interest expense from debt taken on in the spin-off plus an increase in the effective…
Continue reading →23Q1 revenues were $1.538 billion, down 1.9% year-over-year, but up 3% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.69, below 22Q1’s $1.36 and below my estimate of $0.88. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.08 was below last year’s $1.65 and…
Continue reading →23Q1 sales fell 9.8% to $14.5 billion, but rose 13.5% excluding Lagevrio, a COVID-19 medicine whose sales have fallen sharply as the pandemic has receded. The sales gain ex-Lagevrio was due entirely to a $1 billion increase in…
Continue reading →Last night, Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) reported that it had completed its 12.5 million share direct offering, issuing 12.5 million shares at $1.20 per share with attached warrants exercisable at $1.50 per share. In total, the offering generated gross…
Continue reading →23Q1 revenues declined 2.7% to $11.3 billion, less than 22Q4’s decline, but were 3% higher than projected. Sales of Eliquis rose 27.3% sequentially and 6.6% YOY to $3.4 billion. Revlimid sales fell 22.6% and 37.4%, respectively, due to…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CTXR) posted a 23Q1 loss of $0.02 per share, better than I had anticipated, mostly because of a $3.6 gain on the sale of net operating loss carryforwards (equivalent to $0.02 per share) from the State…
Continue reading →22Q4 revenues were $1.485 billion, down 7.4% year-over-year, but up 1% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.43, below 21Q4’s $0.80 and below my estimate of $0.54. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.82 was below last year’s $1.18 and…
Continue reading →22Q4 sales rose 2.2% to $13.8 billion, as a 19.6% gain in KEYTRUDA was mostly offset by declines in Gardasil, Lagevrio and Januvia/Janumet, among others. GAAP diluted EPS declined 21.3% to $1.19 and non-GAAP diluted EPS declined 15.0%…
Continue reading →22Q4 revenue declined 4.8% to $11.4 billion, more than 22Q3’s decline, mostly because of a drop in Revlimid sales due to patent expiry. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.95, down from $1.07 last year but ahead of my estimate…
Continue reading →In its first earnings release since being spun off from General Electric, GEHC reported revenues of $4.9 billion, up 8% YOY (and up 13%, net of acquisitions and currency). Net income from continuing operations was flat at $567…
Continue reading →I recently had the opportunity to view a presentation and ask questions of Leonard Mazur at the Sidoti MicroCap Conference on January 18. Mr. Mazur helped fill in some of the gaps in my knowledge about company and…
Continue reading →Large cap stocks, as measured by the Lark Research Large Cap Index (the “Index”)[1] which mirrors the S&P 500, posted a decline of 19.5% in 2022. As in previous years, most of the performance was driven by a…
Continue reading →In 2022, Citius Pharmaceuticals completed its Phase 3 trial for I/ONTAK, indicated for the treatment of persistent or recurrent cutaneous T-cell lymphoma (CTCL) and submitted its Biologics Licensing Application to the FDA. It has a PDUFA target date…
Continue reading →GE Healthcare Technologies (GEHC) will be spun-off from General Electric Company (GE) on January 4, 2023. Under the terms of the spin-off, GE shareholders will receive one share of GEHC for every three shares of GE that they…
Continue reading →AlerisLife reported a 22Q3 net loss of $8.5 million or $0.27 per share, better than the 22Q2 loss of $8.8 million or $0.28 per share and the 21Q3 loss of $10.2 million or $0.32 per share. I had…
Continue reading →22Q3 revenues were $1.537 billion, down 3.9% year-over-year, but up 3% at constant currency. GAAP diluted EPS was $0.92, below 21Q3’s $1.27, but above my estimate of $0.82. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.36 was below last year’s $1.61, but…
Continue reading →22Q3 sales rose 13.7% to $15.0 billion with double-digit gains in KEYTRUDA and GARDASIL/GARDASIL 9. GAAP diluted EPS fell 29.0% to $1.28; but non-GAAP diluted EPS rose 5.6% to $1.85. The company recorded an $887 million ($0.27 per…
Continue reading →22Q3 revenue declined 3.5% to $11.2 billion, mostly because of a drop in Revlimid sales due to patent expiry. GAAP EPS increased 8.5% to $0.75, but that was slightly below my estimate of $0.77, due mostly to a…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals reported a third quarter loss of $8.9 million or $0.06 per share, compared with last year’s loss of $7.3 million or $0.05 per share. As an early stage drug development company, Citius currently generates no revenues. …
Continue reading →AlerisLife reported a 22Q2 net loss of $8.8 million or $0.28 per share, better than the 22Q1 loss of $9.7 million or $0.31 per share and the 21Q2 loss of $12.3 million or $0.39 per share. I had…
Continue reading →22Q2 revenues of $1.585 billion were flat year-over-year, but up 5% at constant currency. GAAP EPS of $0.92, was below 21Q2’s $1.68 and also below my $1.11 estimate. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.25 was below last year’s $1.72 and…
Continue reading →22Q2 sales increased 28% to $14.6 billion, with LAGEVRIO sales of $1.2 billion, a 26% increase in KEYTRUDA sales to $5.3 billion and a 36% increase in GARDASIL/GARDASIL 9 sales to $1.7 billion. GAAP diluted EPS from continuing…
Continue reading →22Q2 revenues were higher, GAAP earnings lower and non-GAAP earnings higher than anticipated. Management reduced its 2022 revenue guidance by $1 million to $46 billion due to foreign currency headwinds. It also lowered its GAAP EPS guidance, but…
Continue reading →Earlier today, Citius Pharmaceuticals issued a press release announcing its intention to spin-off its late stage oncology candidate, I/ONTAK, to a new, standalone publicly-traded company. In making the announcement, the company said that it believed that the market…
Continue reading →22Q1 Loss of $0.30 in Line with Expectations; Katie Potter Steps Down as CEO; ALR Hires Alvarez & Marsal to Conduct a Comprehensive Operational Review AlerisLife reported a 22Q1 net loss of $9.7 million or $0.31 per diluted…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CXTR) is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development of five potential products: (1) Mino-Lok, an antibiotic lock solution to treat and salvage infected central venous catheters (CVCs) in patients with catheter-related bloodstream infections (CRBSIs);…
Continue reading →The stocks of large pharmaceutical companies, including Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) and Merck & Co. (MRK), which I follow, have outperformed the market significantly so far this year. The pharmaceuticals sector, as measured by the NYSE Arca Pharmaceuticals Index…
Continue reading →Lowering Estimates and Safety Rating, Withdrawing Performance Rating and Price Target AlerisLife Inc. (ALR), formerly known as Five Star Senior Living, reported a fourth quarter net loss of $10.7 million or $0.34 per share, slightly worse than the…
Continue reading →Establishing 2022 and 2023 Estimates, Maintaining Outperform Rating, Setting $85 Price Target Following the spin-off of Organon, Merck is focused on growing its pharmaceuticals business to offset the looming loss of exclusivity on its $5 billion Januvia/Janumet franchise…
Continue reading →Raising 2022 Estimate and Adding 2023, Maintaining Outperform Rating and Price Target of $73 Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMS) achieved many operational milestones in 2021, advancing its development pipeline through clinical trials, new drug applications and regulatory approvals. At…
Continue reading →Organon reported 21Q3 GAAP EPS of $1.38 which exceeded my estimate of $1.31. Revenues were in line with my estimates and operating costs were lower, except for a $25 million increase associated with the acquisition of in-process research…
Continue reading →Again Lowering EPS Estimates; Reducing 6-12 Month PT and Maintaining Outperform Rating Five Star reported a third quarter net loss of $10.2 million or $0.32 per share, less than the second quarter’s loss of $12.3 million or $0.39…
Continue reading →21Q2 Performance in Line with Expectations; Raising Performance Rating and Lowering Price Target 21Q2 GAAP EPS of $1.68 was lower than 20Q2’s $2.14. Although sales increased 4.5% to $1.6 billion, costs were higher as a result of new…
Continue reading →Five Star reported a second quarter net loss of $12.3 million, reversing last year’s $3.0 million net profit. On a per share basis, the loss was $0.39, compared to net income of $0.10 and below my estimate of…
Continue reading →Initiating Coverage with an Outperform Rating. Prospects Beyond 2022 are Favorable. With the acquisitions of Celgene in 2019 and MyoKardia in 2020, BMS has substantially transformed its business and repositioned for growth. Drugs added to the portfolio from…
Continue reading →In early April, Five Star announced a change in its strategy whereby it will transition out of the management of 108 smaller senior living communities (SLCs) with 7,500 living units (with an average of 69.4 units per community),…
Continue reading →Merck is progressing toward the spin-off of its subsidiary, Organon & Co., which is expected to be completed by the end of the June. Organon will include Merck’s women’s health products, biosimilars and certain established brands, most of…
Continue reading →On April 9, Five Star and DHC announced a restructuring of their management agreement whereby DHC will transition the management of 108 smaller senior living communities (SLCs) with a total of 7,500 units to other operators by the…
Continue reading →In recent weeks, Merck has been following through on its plan to spin-off its subsidiary, Organon & Co., to shareholders. On March 17, it filed its Form 10 registration statement related to the transaction. On March 24, it…
Continue reading →Citius Pharmaceuticals (CXTR) is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development of four potential products: (1) Mino-Lok, an antibiotic lock solution to treat and salvage infected central venous catheters (“CVCs”) in patients with catheter-related bloodstream infections (“CRBSIs”);…
Continue reading →Vaccination of 90% of Residents Raises Visibility on a Rebound in Occupancy Five Star reported slightly stronger 20Q4 results than anticipated, due primarily to gains on investments held by its captive insurer. Average occupancy across its owned and…
Continue reading →2020 was of course dominated by the impact of the pandemic on the economy and specifically on the revenues and profits of each of the S&P 500 constituents. There was a sharp stock market sell-off in March-April, followed…
Continue reading →Five Star Senior Living continues to cope with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on its operations. During the 2020 second quarter, it experienced a 3.8% decline in occupancy from 82.5% to 78.7% across its owned and managed…
Continue reading →On June 20, Merck held an investor day, its first in five years, to highlight its goals and objectives and provide a broad perspective on its five-year performance outlook. Although its blockbuster cancer treatment, KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab), has been…
Continue reading →Shares of Five Star Senior Living (FVE) have performed poorly over the past two years, even underperforming FVE’s peer group, which has significantly underperformed both the health care sector and the broader market. The industry is suffering from…
Continue reading →Product Pipeline Successes. Merck has enjoyed a couple of notable successes in its product pipeline over the past year. The first and most important is Keytruda (pembrolizumab), the company’s anti-PD-1 (programmed death receptor-1) immunotherapy treatment for cancer. Keytruda…
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