Risk/Reward archive
25Q3 sales rose 3.7% to $17.3 billion, exceeding my estimate by 3.9%. The revenue beat was due mostly to higher than anticipated sales of GARDASIL. Although GARDASIL sales were down 24% YOY, they were up 55% sequentially, breaking…
Continue reading →25Q2 sales decreased 1.9% to $15.8 billion and were 0.8% below my estimate. GARDASIL sales declined by $1.3 billion or 55%, hurt by a lack of pull through in China. (Thus, the company’s suspension of shipments to China…
Continue reading →25Q1 sales decreased 1.6% to $15.5 billion and were 2.0% below my estimate. Excluding currency, sales rose 1%. Sales gains in KEYTRUDA, WINREVAIR and Animal Health offset a 41% drop in GARDASIL sales, as a sharp drop in…
Continue reading →24Q4 sales rose 6.8% to $15.6 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 9%. Once again, a high teens percentage gain in KEYTRUDA sales more than offset declining sales in most of the rest of the portfolio. GAAP diluted EPS…
Continue reading →24Q3 sales rose 4.3% to $16.7 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 7%. Once again, a double-digit gain in KEYTRUDA sales more than offset declining sales in the rest of the portfolio. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.24, below 23Q3’s…
Continue reading →24Q2 sales increased 7.2% to $16.1 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 11%. The sales gain came almost entirely from an increase of $1.0 billion in Keytruda. However, a few recently launched medicines posted solid sales, including Wellireg, Winrevair…
Continue reading →24Q1 sales increased 8.9% to $15.8 billion. Excluding currency, sales rose 12%. The sales gain came from an increase of $1.15 billion in Keytruda and $277 million in Gardasil. GAAP diluted EPS was $1.87 per share vs. last…
Continue reading →23Q3 sales increased 3.0% to $16.0 billion. Excluding currency and sales of Lagevrio, sales rose 8%. The sales gain came from an increase of $0.9 billion in Keytruda and $290 million in Gardasil.
Continue reading →23Q2 sales increased 4.2% to $14.5 billion, but rose 11% excluding Lagevrio, a COVID-19 medicine. The sales gain ex-Lagevrio was due to sales increases of $1 billion in Keytruda and $800 million in Gardasil.
Continue reading →23Q1 sales fell 9.8% to $14.5 billion, but rose 13.5% excluding Lagevrio, a COVID-19 medicine whose sales have fallen sharply as the pandemic has receded. The sales gain ex-Lagevrio was due entirely to a $1 billion increase in…
Continue reading →22Q4 sales rose 2.2% to $13.8 billion, as a 19.6% gain in KEYTRUDA was mostly offset by declines in Gardasil, Lagevrio and Januvia/Janumet, among others. GAAP diluted EPS declined 21.3% to $1.19 and non-GAAP diluted EPS declined 15.0%…
Continue reading →22Q3 sales rose 13.7% to $15.0 billion with double-digit gains in KEYTRUDA and GARDASIL/GARDASIL 9. GAAP diluted EPS fell 29.0% to $1.28; but non-GAAP diluted EPS rose 5.6% to $1.85. The company recorded an $887 million ($0.27 per…
Continue reading →22Q2 sales increased 28% to $14.6 billion, with LAGEVRIO sales of $1.2 billion, a 26% increase in KEYTRUDA sales to $5.3 billion and a 36% increase in GARDASIL/GARDASIL 9 sales to $1.7 billion. GAAP diluted EPS from continuing…
Continue reading →Establishing 2022 and 2023 Estimates, Maintaining Outperform Rating, Setting $85 Price Target Following the spin-off of Organon, Merck is focused on growing its pharmaceuticals business to offset the looming loss of exclusivity on its $5 billion Januvia/Janumet franchise…
Continue reading →Merck is progressing toward the spin-off of its subsidiary, Organon & Co., which is expected to be completed by the end of the June. Organon will include Merck’s women’s health products, biosimilars and certain established brands, most of…
Continue reading →In recent weeks, Merck has been following through on its plan to spin-off its subsidiary, Organon & Co., to shareholders. On March 17, it filed its Form 10 registration statement related to the transaction. On March 24, it…
Continue reading →On June 20, Merck held an investor day, its first in five years, to highlight its goals and objectives and provide a broad perspective on its five-year performance outlook. Although its blockbuster cancer treatment, KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab), has been…
Continue reading →Product Pipeline Successes. Merck has enjoyed a couple of notable successes in its product pipeline over the past year. The first and most important is Keytruda (pembrolizumab), the company’s anti-PD-1 (programmed death receptor-1) immunotherapy treatment for cancer. Keytruda…
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